Sunshine is back and here to stay

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RALEIGH, N.C. (WNCN) —  The historic week of flooding is over, both in days of the week and the forecast.  After a few scattered storms Friday and Friday night, dry weather and sunshine will return this weekend.

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The first weekend of October looks a lot better than the last few days of September did.  Saturday will lead off the month with some clouds early Saturday morning, then sunshine the rest of the day.  The high Saturday will be 81 with just a 10% chance of rain early in the morning.

Sunday will be mostly sunny with a cooler start, around 60, before an afternoon high of 80.

Next week will start off mostly sunny with a high Monday near 79 after a morning low of 63.

Tuesday will stay dry with a high of 77 under partly cloudy skies.  Wednesday and Thursday should also remain dry with highs in the mid to upper 70s.

Matthew strengthened into our fifth hurricane of the season Thursday and rapidly strengthened Friday into a Category 4 hurricane. The storm continues to slow down though as it moves to the west through the Caribbean.  Late Saturday into Sunday, Matthew will take a turn to the north and head toward Jamaica and Cuba for early next week.  It’s too early to tell what, if any, impact it will have on the United States, but if it were to impact the east coast it would be towards the end of next week.

History tells us that since 1950, October hurricanes that come within 500 miles of the North Carolina coastline only make landfall in the Tar Heel state 17 percent of the time.  The last hurricane to hit our state in October was 31 years ago and that was Gloria in 1985.  35 hurricanes have come within 500 miles of the North Carolina coast since 1950 and only 6 have made landfall.

However, history does not dictate the path of Matthew and the possibility of a hurricane impacted North Carolina by the later half of next week must be considered.  Storms generally don’t hit our state in October partially because of the nature of tropical storms to bend right due to the rotation of the Earth, but we also start to get frequent cold fronts this time of year that help push storms away.  While that may be the case with Matthew as well, it may be until late this weekend before we have a better idea of the exact path.

This forecast was prepared by the CBS North Carolina Storm Team and is based on the latest information available and years of weather forecasting in North Carolina. It was not produced by a computer like many forecasts you find on the web, social media and smarts phone apps. If you have any questions for the CBS North Carolina Storm Team, please send us an e-mail to: wncnweather@wncn.com.

Be sure to download our WNCN Weather app for the latest video and hour by hour forecast updated personally by the WNCN weather team in addition to interactive and futurecast radar.

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